Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.082420 0.088471 0.094783 0.101867 0.109605 0.117813 0.127192
2025-11-23 0.070515 0.079305 0.089008 0.100556 0.113979 0.129155 0.147702
2025-11-30 0.063633 0.074234 0.086472 0.101745 0.120428 0.142714 0.171569
2025-12-07 0.056598 0.067924 0.081467 0.099013 0.121379 0.149254 0.187127
2025-12-14 0.050392 0.061869 0.075985 0.094846 0.119720 0.151884 0.197417
2025-12-21 0.046435 0.058183 0.073005 0.093368 0.121076 0.158152 0.212711
2025-12-28 0.044223 0.056487 0.072339 0.094707 0.126080 0.169492 0.235878
2026-01-04 0.042114 0.054724 0.071381 0.095460 0.130183 0.179739 0.258301
2026-01-11 0.039735 0.052409 0.069469 0.094662 0.131894 0.186527 0.276009
2026-01-18 0.037781 0.050533 0.068003 0.094328 0.134153 0.194172 0.295645
2026-01-25 0.035623 0.048230 0.065772 0.092677 0.134236 0.198382 0.309991
2026-02-01 0.033433 0.045754 0.063135 0.090218 0.132838 0.200058 0.320119
2026-02-08 0.031601 0.043736 0.061106 0.088628 0.132806 0.204115 0.335144
2026-02-15 0.029920 0.041860 0.059189 0.087094 0.132759 0.208162 0.350658
2026-02-22 0.029002 0.041058 0.058823 0.087944 0.136633 0.219096 0.379958
2026-03-01 0.027361 0.039085 0.056563 0.085607 0.134977 0.220261 0.390830
2026-03-08 0.025564 0.036791 0.053691 0.082097 0.131059 0.217064 0.392764
2026-03-15 0.024424 0.035455 0.052247 0.080852 0.130963 0.220734 0.408810
2026-03-22 0.023894 0.035039 0.052229 0.081973 0.135098 0.232531 0.442964
2026-03-29 0.023292 0.034476 0.051940 0.082605 0.138374 0.242957 0.475493
2026-04-05 0.022457 0.033506 0.050939 0.081935 0.139194 0.248658 0.498312
2026-04-12 0.021752 0.032713 0.050188 0.081655 0.140706 0.255830 0.525336
2026-04-19 0.020875 0.031604 0.048861 0.080269 0.140007 0.258440 0.542010